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Risk to Rule in 2008 Markets
Major Shareholder Advocacy Focus Seen on Darfur, CEO
Compensation, and Payday Lending
Top Catholic Institutional Investment Firm Sees 2007 Focus on Return Shifting
to Coping With Risks in 2008; If SEC Permits Proxy Resolutions, Major Progress
Expected in Shareholder Advocacy.
NEW YORK CITY, N.Y.///November 14, 2007///Where most of 2007 focused on maximizing
returns in the market, the gathering clouds of risk will continue to build from
late this year into next year, dominating investment strategies during 2008,
according to Frank D. Haines, chief investment officer and vice president, Christian
Brothers Investment Services, Inc. (CBIS), the leader in Catholic socially responsible
investing (SRI) with $4.3 billion in assets under management on behalf of more
than 1,000 institutional Catholic clients worldwide.
CBIS also is a front-and-center player in shareholder advocacy, emerging during
2007 as a major voice raising concerns about potential proposals
from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to curb shareholder
advisory resolutions. Assuming that such restrictions are not put in place by
the SEC, the 2008 shareholder season will see a major focus on resolutions and
shareholder dialogues dealing with payday lending, Darfur divestment and say
on pay issues related to CEO compensation, according to John K. S. Wilson,
CBIS director of socially responsible investing.
Frank D. Haines, CFA, a CBIS vice president and chief investment officer, said:
Subprime lending is just one example of some of the riskier investment
schemes introduced by Wall Street in recent years. Others -- such as collateralized
debt obligations (CDOs), collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), credit default
swaps (CDSs), and even more esoteric structured products -- have permitted the
dissemination of risky securities among a multitude of investors. These financial
instruments have permitted investors to more selectively manage risks and have
provided additional liquidity to financial markets. However, they have also
disseminated risks in opaque form among many less sophisticated investors. Of
course, this has all been lucrative business for financial firms, as demonstrated
by their short-term profits. But the long-term picture is now setting in and
will continue into 2008. The current fascination with riskier investment schemes
will not end without costs which we believe are likely to be borne primarily
by investors.
John K. S. Wilson, CBIS director of socially responsible investing, said: The
2008 shareholder advocacy season is just weeks away and yet remains under a
cloud as the Securities and Exchange Commission contemplates action on controversial
restrictions on the right of corporate shareholders to express their legitimate
concerns about genuine threats to the long-term wealth of themselves and other
investors. Assuming that the 2008 shareholder season is not sidetracked by regulatory
action, Christian Brothers Investment Services is looking for major focuses
on the Sudan/Darfur crisis, the growing movement in say on pay corporate
CEO compensation resolutions and payday lending abuses involving some of Americas
largest banking institutions. Some of these pushes will unfold through proxies
and some will take place behind closed doors in dialogues between management
and corporate shareholders. When all is said and done, we are looking for a
vibrant 2008 shareholder season with activity near or in excess of the record
years of 2006 and 2007.
2008 MARKET OUTLOOK
CBIS offers a number of traditional strategies in cash management, bond, international
and domestic equity, as well as a market neutral product for Catholic institutions;
as well as advice on investment strategy. Like all other financial institutions,
CBIS has experienced some fallout related to the de-leveraging by quantitative
processes, subprime weakness in bond and cash markets, cash market illiquidity,
dollar weakness, and possible bubbles in commodity or emerging market prices.
Given its relatively conservative posture in relation to subprime exposure and
a lack of derivative and structured investment products, Haines believes that
CBIS is well positioned to deal with the increasingly risky market circumstances
that will predominate in 2008.
In addition to continuing subprime and weak dollar woes, Haines highlights
other major risk factors for 2008, including issuers separated from responsibility
for securities (including mortgage lenders, banks and SIVs and LBO managers
and portfolio companies), buy-side sponsors failing to analyze products (relying
to much on rating agencies, word of mouth and hedge fund recommendations), and
the spread of the being like Yale mentality (a herd-like focus on
diversification into riskier non-traditional products).
Haines is look for continued strength in 2008 in equities in cyclicals, more
weakness in the dollar and strength in growth stocks. In bonds, Haines is looking
for yields to be down and the restoration of the positive yield curve.
2008 SHAREHOLDER ADVOCACY OUTLOOK
Barring a major SEC-imposed restriction on shareholder resolutions in 2008,
Wilson expects to see another proxy season with proxy resolutions again at or
near record levels. At CBIS, the focus will be on three major areas:
* Sudan/Darfur. While much of the focus on the Sudan/Darfur humanitarian
crisis has focused on divestment, Wilson is expecting to see growing use of
shareholder resolutions to put pressure on publicly traded U.S. corporations
to act responsibility. He also expects that much of the eventual progress on
the part of shareholder advocates will come through dialogues that take place
behind the scenes between shareholder advocates and company officials.
* Say on pay/CEO
compensation. The so-called say on pay movement among shareholder
advocates started to take root in a major way during the 2007 shareholder season
and will continue into 2008, according to Wilson. On November 15, 2007, shareholder
advocates will see the results of their efforts in a major proxy vote at the
high-tech firm Cisco, which has the focus of CEO compensation resolutions for
a number of years. Fueled by recent SEC rule changes governing the disclosure
of CEO pay, the say on pay movement will focus in 2008 at a number
of companies on both the quality/adequacy of such reporting and instances of
perceived excesses in CEO pay, Wilson said.
* Payday lending. After a few shareholder seasons in which predatory
lending resolutions focused on a major financial institutions, the focus will
shift in 2008 at CBIS into a related topic area: payday lending. The focus on
excessive interest charges and unfair fees imposed on low- and moderate-income
individuals in the U.S. is a perfect fit with CBIS mission to invest in
a socially responsible manner, Wilson said. CBIS expects to offer some of the
first major payday-focused shareholder resolutions during the 2008 proxy season.
ABOUT CBIS
Christian Brothers Investment Services, Inc., manages $4.3 billion, combining
faith and finance in the responsible stewardship of Catholic financial assets.
CBIS' combination of premier institutional asset managers, diversified product
offerings, and careful risk-control strategies constitutes a unique investment
approach for Catholic institutions and their fiduciaries. CBIS strives to integrate
faith-based values into the investment process through a disciplined approach
to socially responsible investing that includes principled purchasing (stock
screens), active ownership strategies (proxy voting, dialogues, and shareholder
resolutions) and community investment. Visit CBIS on the Web at http://www.cbisonline.com.
CONTACT:
Patrick Mitchell, (703) 276-3266 or pmitchell@hastingsgroup.com.
EDITORS NOTE: A streaming audio replay of a related news event will be
available on the Web at http://www.cbisonline.com as of 7 p.m. ET on November
14, 2007.
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